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Category: List of Bases 2010 2010 ICTP activities in Trieste ICTP activities in Trieste
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lecture

Start Time:

19 April 2010 at 09:00

Ends On:

23 April 2010

Location:

Trieste - Italy

Venue:

AGH (Giambiagi Lecture Hall)

Organizer(s):

Director: F. Toth (IAEA). Local Organizer at ICTP: C. Tuniz

Description:



Lecture notes PDFs

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The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy, in collaboration with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA, Vienna, Austria), is organizing a Workshop on Vulnerability of Energy Systems to Climate Change and Extreme Events, to take place from 19 to 23 April 2010.

The objective of this Workshop is to bring together experts from climate change/extreme events, energy systems, risk assessment and energy planning to review the state-of-the-art in the relevant fields and to provide a platform for exploring linkages and for synthesizing knowledge across these domains.

The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2007 concluded that, due to the immense inertia of the Earth’s biogeophysical system, a considerable degree of climate change will be unavoidable even if very ambitious efforts will be made to curb greenhouse gas emissions over the next few decades. There is a great deal of scientific uncertainty regarding the nature, magnitude and frequency of different extreme weather events as climate change unfolds, but many studies indicate increasing frequency and intensity of such events in most world regions. Extreme weather events will possibly increase old and spawn new threats for energy installations and infrastructure, including those associated with nuclear energy. While there is a reasonably good understanding of the impacts of non-weather natural hazards on energy systems and some initial assessments of climate hazards have been made, there are still many open issues that need to be explored in order to consider the new knowledge in national energy planning. The Workshop will address key scientific and policy relevant issues in this field.


Topics include:
• scientific uncertainties about the changes in the nature, magnitude and frequency of extreme events triggered by anthropogenic climate change, their formulation for use in impact and risk assessments for energy system;
• the impact of these extreme events on energy installations and energy supply infrastructures;
• technological options and policy strategies to reduce exposure and vulnerability and to increase the resilience of energy systems to weather-related and non-weather hazards;
• integration of promising options and strategies in national energy planning and international energy strategies (EU, ASEAN, Latin America, etc.).

Participants are expected to deliver a presentation at the Workshop on one of the above topics or on a case study of impacts of extreme weather events on energy infrastructure in their own country/region. Preference will be given to applicants who declare readiness to prepare and submit a written version as a draft paper of the presentation before the workshop. A short abstract (maximum 400 words) of the proposed presentation should be attached to the application form. File attachments should be in PDF format. Application deadline expired 18 December 2009.


Material:

19 April 2010
08:00
10:00
Registration and Administrative Formalities
02h00'
ICTP-funded Lecturers should register first between 8:00 and 9:00 to ensure completion of procedures before the start of the Workshop.

A shuttle service will run between the Adriatico Guest House and the E. Fermi Building for those needing to go to the Operations and Finance Office and the bank.

IAEA-funded Lecturers should register from 9:00 to 10:00.

10:00
10:30
Coffee Break
30'
10:30
11:00
Opening and Welcome Remarks
30'
Claudio Tuniz
Assistant Director, ICTP
Introduction to the ICTP
11:00
11:30
Weather extremes and energy systems: Workshop introduction and overview
30'
Ferenc Toth
IAEA, Vienna, Austria
11:30
12:30
Weather extremes and their changes: Phenomenology and empirical approaches
01h00'
Janos Mika
Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest, Hungary
12:30
14:00
Lunch
01h30'
14:00
14:30
Hydrometeorological hazards in the gulf of California and vulnerability of the coastal cities of Guaymas-Empalme, Sonora, Mexico, during cyclone Jimena in September 2009
30'
Miguel Rangel Medina
University of Sonora, Hermosillo, Mexico
14:30
15:00
Climate change mitigation strategies and vulnerability for the Argentinean electricity supply
30'
Cristina Elena Rössler
Universidad Nacional de San Martin, Buenos Aires, Argentina
15:00
15:30
Coffee Break
30'
15:30
16:00
Vulnerability of the Hungarian Energy System
30'
Katalin Hartung
University of Pecs, Pecs, Hungary
18:00
21:00
Welcome Reception
03h00'
20 April 2010
08:30
09:00
Vulnerability of the Tanzanian hydropower production to extreme weather events
30'
Saiguran Loisulie
Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania
09:00
09:30
Evaluating the vulnerability of Tana Beles hydropower network to climate variability impact in Ethiopia
30'
Sisay Eshetu Debele
Arba Minch University, Assala, Ethiopia
09:30
10:00
The potential effect of climate change and extreme events on energy systems in the African region
30'
Desta Gebeyehu Seyoum
University of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
10:00
10:30
Coffee Break
30'
10:30
11:15
Vulnerability of renewable energy sources to climate change
45'
Sofija Mito Nikolova
University Sts Cyril and Methodius, Skopje, FYR Macedonia
11:15
12:00
Impacts of climate change on renewable energy sources in Croatia
45'
Robert Pašicko
United Nations Development Programme, Zagreb, Croatia
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
15:00
Impacts of and adaptation options to extreme weather events in thermal power plants
01h00'
Jeannette Schulz
European Institute for Energy Research, Karlsruhe, Germany
15:00
15:30
Impacts of extreme weather events on energy infrastructure in the Republic of Moldova
30'
Sergiu G. Robu
Institute of Power Engineering, Chisinau, Moldova
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
17:00
Mathematical modeling of systemic risk: addressing unintended consequences
01h00'
Matteo Marsili
ICTP, Trieste
17:00
17:30
Considerations of climate related policies and vulnerability of Estonian electricity and heat system development
30'
Mariliis Lehtveer
University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia
21 April 2010
08:30
09:00
Climate change and extreme events: vulnerability of energy systems in Cuba
30'
Elieza Meneses Ruiz
Center for Information Management and Energy Development, Havana, Cuba
09:00
09:30
Reducing energy sector vulnerability to climate change and extreme events
30'
Ephrem Shaul
University of Addis Ababa, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
09:30
10:15
Coffee Break
45'
10:15
11:30
Solar energy: vulnerability to extreme events from climate change
01h15'
Anthony G. Patt
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
11:30
12:00
Technical and economical assessment of the utilization of photovoltaic systems in residential buildings: the case of Jordan
30'
Ahmed Said Al-Salaymeh
University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
12:00
13:30
Lunch
01h30'
13:30
14:15
Projected changes in climate and weather extremes
45'
Markku Rummukainen
Swedish Meteorological & Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
14:15
15:00
Climate impacts on the coal system from resource assessments through environmental remediation
45'
James Ekmann
Leonardo Technologies, Inc., Pittsburgh, USA
15:00
15:30
Coffee Break
30'
15:30
16:15
Risk assessment approaches to managing weather extremes in energy systems
45'
Mohammad Modarres
University of Maryland, Maryland, USA
16:15
17:00
Assessing the vulnerability of wind energy to climate change and extreme events
45'
Sara C. Pryor
Indiana University, Bloomington, USA
22 April 2010
08:30
09:30
Effects of Extreme Weather on Nuclear Power Plants
01h00'
Oszvald Glockler
IAEA, Vienna, Austria
09:30
10:30
Vulnerability of oil and gas infrastructure to climate change and extreme weather events
01h00'
Ana Maria Cruz Naranjo
Consultant, Natural and Industrial Disaster Risk Management, Bordeaux, France
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:30
The impact of extreme events on energy installations and energy supply infrastructure
30'
Kaleem Anwar Mir
Global Change Impact Studies Centre, Islamabad, Pakistan
11:30
13:00
Lunch
01h30'
13:00
14:00
Vulnerability of electricity grid systems to climate change and extreme weather events
01h00'
David Michael Ward
Magnox North, Ltd., Thornbury, UK
14:00
15:00
Climate change and extreme events: Conclusions from the IPCC
01h00'
Filippo Giorgi
ICTP, Trieste
15:00
15:30
Coffee Break
30'
15:30
16:30
Climate change effects on the hydrology of the Alpine region
01h00'
Erika Coppola
ICTP, Trieste
16:30
17:30
Impacts of and Adaptation Options to Extreme Weather events in the Hydropower Sector
01h00'
Douglas Sparks
Hydro-Québec, Montreal, Canada
23 April 2010
08:30
09:30
Energy planning: Representing extreme weather events in energy supply models
01h00'
Ferenc Toth
IAEA, Vienna, Austria
09:30
10:00
Scientific uncertainties about the changes in the nature, magnitude and frequency of extreme events triggered by anthropogenic climate change, their formulation for use in impact and risk assessments for energy system
30'
Tahira Munir
Global Change Impact Studies Centre, Islamabad, Pakistan
10:00
10:30
Coffee Break
30'
10:30
11:00
Status of energy installations and energy supply infrastructures in Madurai, India and predicted impacts of extreme events
30'
Sundaram Ammavasai
Madurai Kamaraj University, Madurai, India
11:00
12:30
Closing Session - Plenary Discussion
01h30'
Climate change and extreme weather events: Vulnerability, impacts and adaptation in energy systems - Gaps in knowledge, research needs, collaboration opportunities.
If you want to make a direct link from your Web page to this agenda, please use this URL:
http://cdsagenda5.ictp.trieste.it/full_display.php?ida=a09141

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