CDSAGENDA V.5 Fourth ICTP Workshop on the Theory and Use of Regional Climate Models: Applying RCMs to Developing Nations in Support of Climate Change Assessment and Extended-Range Prediction

Fourth ICTP Workshop on the Theory and Use of Regional Climate Models: Applying RCMs to Developing Nations in Support of Climate Change Assessment and Extended-Range Prediction

Cosponsor(s):

Co-sponsored by the: World Climate Research Programme (WMO/WCRP, Geneva)

Start Time:

3 March 2008 at 08:30

Ends On:

14 March 2008

Location:

Trieste - Italy

Venue:

AGH (Kastler Lecture Hall)

Organizer(s):

Directors: F. Giorgi, C. Jones, L. Sun

Description:

Regional climate models (RCMs) are important climate research tools available to scientists from developing nations. The field of regional climate modeling has expanded tremendously in the last decade and RCMs are being used for a wide variety of applications, from process studies to paleoclimate, climate change and (more recently) seasonal to interdecadal prediction. The workshop is intended to provide a forum to review the status of research, discuss outstanding issues and investigate possibilities of new applications in regional climate modeling. A particular perspective of the workshop is the use of RCMs related to climate change and extended (seasonal to interannual) prediction research in developing nations. The workshop is composed of two weeks. The first will include invited lectures, contributed papers and panel discussions, while the second will include hands-on training sessions with two RCMs (the ICTP RegCM and the ECPC/IRI RSM) for specific application to climate change and seasonal prediction studies. The 8th International RSM workshop as well the RegCM user meeting will be held during this workshop.

The workshop will cover the following topics:
•Regional climate modeling, status and outstanding issues;
•Application of RCMs to climate change and seasonal prediction;
•Tropical climate processes, variability and predictability;
•Uncertainties in regional climate change predictions;
•Biosphere-atmosphere interactions;
•The role of fine scale feedbacks in regional climate simulation;
•Use of RCMs in Africa, Asia and South America;
Use of RegCM and RSM for climate change and seasonal prediction.

Material:

Monday, March 3

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

3 March 2008

08:30
09:15

REGISTRATION

45'

(After Registration, all Administrative Formalities (daily living allowances/travel reimbursements, bank transactions, etc.) should be completed at the E. Fermi Building (just above the ICTP Main Bldg

General_Info.__Sheet

see General Information Sheet for timings

09:15
09:30

WELCOME BY DIRECTORS

15'

09:30
10:15

Regional Climate Modelling in the Climate Change Problem: Recent Advances and future direction

45'

Jens H-Christensen
Danish Climate Centre, Copenhagen

10:15
11:00

Regional Climate Modelling and Seasonal Prediction

45'

lecture_notes

Liqiang Sun
International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades (NY)

11:00
11:30

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

11:30
12:15

Uncertainties in RCM based regional climate change projections

45'

lecture_notes

Filippo Giorgi
Head - ICTP/ESP Group

12:15
13:00

Climate Risk Management and the use of Regional Climate Model simulations in developing nations

45'

lecture_notes

Andy Robertson
International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades (NY)

13:00
13:50

Lunch

50'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

13:50
15:50

Contributed talks (20 mins each x 5)

02h00'

"Global to Local Scale Modelling of Observed & Future Variability of Precipitation in West Africa" 20' lecture_notes	A. Krüger (Germany)
"Skill of RSM in simulation of Atmospheric Circulation Dynamics & Precipitation Associated with Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction over Western Indian Ocean & the Greater Eastern Africa" 20' lecture_notes	N. J. Mutemi (Kenya)
"Performance of the PRECIS Regional Climate Model over a West African Domain" 20' lecture_notes	I. Seidou Sanda (Niger)
"A simulation of West Africa rainy season using the Regional climate model RegCM3" 20' lecture_notes	L. A. Tchoutchou Djiotang (Central African Rep.)
"The study of the climatic impacts of aerosols (natural & anthropogenic)over Africa (West Africa)" 20'	A. Konaré (Ivory Coast)
'Some preliminary results on 2006 RegCm simulations over West Africa by using a 6-hourly SST dataset' 20' lecture_notes	A. Dell'Aquila (Italy)

18:00
18:45

Posters + Ice Breaker

45'

Room: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)

Tuesday, March 4

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

4 March 2008

09:00
09:45

Large Scale tropical variability in AGCMs and AOGCMs

45'

lecture_notes

Adrian Tompkins
ICTP, Trieste

09:45
10:30

Convection over tropical land regions

45'

lecture_notes

Jean-Luc Redelsperger
Meteo-France Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques, Toulouse

10:30
11:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace)

11:00
11:45

Land-surface atmosphere interactions over tropical regions

45'

lecture_notes

Jan Polcher
C.N.R.S.- Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique (Lmd), Paris

11:45
12:30

Parameterisation issues for Regional Climate Models

45'

lecture_notes

Colin Jones
Canadian Regional Climate Modelling and Diagnostics Network, Montreal

12:30
13:50

Lunch

01h20'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

13:50
15:30

Contributed talks (20 mins each x 5)

01h40'

"RegCM3 dust storm simulation in Patagonia" 20' lecture_notes	O. Frumento (Argentina)
"Soil moisture atmosphere coupling strength during the South American Monsoon" 20' lecture_notes	A. Sorensson (Argentina)
"Global Dynamical Downscaling of Reanalysis with Bias Correction" 20' lecture_notes	M. Kanamitsu (USA)
"Using the RSM for a downscaled forecast over the United States: resulting skill and optimal ensemble size" 20' lecture_notes	L. De Haan (USA)
"Identification of non-linear changes in regional climate responses to 21st century anthropogenic forcing" 20' lecture_notes	B. T. Anderson (USA)

15:30
16:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace)

16:00
18:00

Parallel Sessions:

02h00'

Tutorial Session on RegCM
Tutorial Session on RSM

Wednesday, March 5

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

5 March 2008

09:00
09:45

The importance of fine-scale feedbacks in regional climate change

45'

Noah Diffenbaugh
Purdue University

09:45
10:30

Analysis of biases in tropical channel simulations based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model

45'

Ruby Leung
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland (WA)

10:30
11:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

11:00
11:45

Examples of regional climate modelling activities over South America

45'

lecture_notes

Paulo Nobre
Centro de Previsao de Tempo e Estudos Climaticos, Cachoeira Paulista (SP)

11:45
12:30

Examples of seasonal prediction activities over South America: Paulo Nobre

45'

lecture_notes

Paulo Nobre

12:30
13:50

Lunch

01h20'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

13:50
15:30

Contributed talks (20 mins each x 5)

01h40'

"Inter-comparison of Regional Climate Models in Simulating the Indian Summer Monsoon" 20' lecture_notes	K. Basanta Samala (India)
"Study on the Seasonal Rainfall Predictability in Bali Island based on Validated Predictors: SST & GCM Data using Climate Predictability Tools, IRI" 20'	H. Siswanto (Indonesia)
"Regionalization of GCM data using regional climate modeling for climate change scenarios over Pakistan" 20'	S. Khan ul Islam (Pakistan)
"Climate Change Scenarios for South Asia using Regional Climate Model RegCM3" 20' lecture_notes	M. Shahbaz (Pakistan)
"Calibration of RegCM3 simulated meteorological parameters in Bangladesh: Part I-preliminary result for rainfall" 20' lecture_notes	Md. M. Rahman (Bangladesh)

15:30
16:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

16:00
18:00

Parallel Sessions:

02h00'

Tutorial Session on RegCM
Tutorial Session on RSM

Thursday, March 6

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

6 March 2008

09:00
09:45

Examples of regional climate modelling activities over Africa

45'

lecture_notes

Bruce Hewitson
University of Cape Town

09:45
10:30

Examples of seasonal prediction activities over Africa:

45'

lecture_notes

Mark Tadross
Climate Systems Analysis Group CSAG, U. Cape Town

10:30
11:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

11:00
11:45

A review of RCM projects over Africa and suggestions for future coordinated efforts for Regional Climate Simulations over Africa

45'

lecture_notes

Bill Gutowski
Iowa State University, Ames (IA)

11:45
12:30

Open discussion on Africa RCM intercomparison and coordinated climate modelling activities in the future

45'

12:30
13:50

Lunch

01h20'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

13:50
14:30

Contributed talks (20 mins x 2)

40'

"A Coupled Regional Climate Modelling System for the Mediterranean Area: Results from the Control Simulation" 20' lecture_notes	S. Calmanti (Italy)
"Regional Climate Change Projections with RegCM3 for Turkey: Preliminary Results" 20' lecture_notes	D. Bozkurt (Turkey)

14:30
15:30

Open discussion on Regional Modelling needs for Developing Nations

01h00'

15:30
16:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

16:00
18:00

Parallel Sessions:

02h00'

Tutorial Session on RegCM
Tutorial Session on RSM

Friday, March 7

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

7 March 2008

09:00
09:45

Reduction of future Monsoon Precipitation over China

45'

lecture_notes

Xuejie Gao
National Climate Center, Beijing

09:45
10:30

Improvement of Dynamical Downscaling for Asia and other regions

45'

lecture_notes

Masao Kanamitsu
Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego

10:30
11:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

11:00
11:45

Outstanding issues in Regional Climate Modelling

45'

lecture_notes

Richard Jones
UK Met Office Hadley Centre, Reading

11:45
12:30

Open Discussion on future priorities in Regional Climate Modelling

45'

12:30
13:50

Lunch

01h20'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

13:50
15:30

Contributed talks (20 mins x 5)

01h40'

"Validations of the Regional Spectral Model coupled with the Common Land Model over China" 20' lecture_notes	Haiqin Li (P.R. China)
"Climate Simulations over Eastern China Using the RSM" 20' lecture_notes	Feng Zheng (P.R. China)
"The importance of the land surface for regional climate simulations in tropical monsoon regions" 20' lecture_notes	A. Steiner (USA)
"Uncertainties in dynamical downscaling: large-scale forcing, regional forcing, and consistency between the GCMs and RCMs" 20' lecture_notes	Song-you Hong (R. of Korea)
"Regional Modeling, Verification & Application over the Greater Horn of Africa" 20' lecture_notes	M. Indeje (Kenya)

15:30
16:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

16:00
18:00

Parallel Sessions:

02h00'

Tutorial Session on RegCM
Tutorial Session on RSM 20'

19:30
19:30

CONFERENCE DINNER

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

Monday, March 10

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

7 March 2008

09:00
10:30

Parallel Sessions:

01h30'

RegCM: Discussion of Projects
RSM: Discussion of Projects

10:30
11:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)

11:00
12:30

Laboratory Sessions

01h30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.

12:30
14:00

Lunch

01h30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

14:00
15:30

Laboratory Sessions

01h30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.

15:30
16:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)

16:00
17:30

Laboratory Sessions

01h30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.

Tuesday, March 11

Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.

11 March 2008

09:00
10:30

Parallel Sessions: RegCM Presentations & Discussion

01h30'

"Subgrid-scale topography & land use scheme: General methodology and application to the Alps region"	Eun-Soon Im
"The RegCM experiments over China”	Yan Bao (ESP-ICTP)
"Regionalization of GCM data using regional climate modeling for climate change scenarios over Pakistan" lecture_notes	S. Khan ul Islam (Pakistan)
RSM Presentations & Discussion (See RSM Prog.)

10:30
11:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)

11:00
12:30

Laboratory Sessions

01h30'

12:30
14:00

Lunch

01h30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

14:00
15:30

Laboratory Sessions

01h30'

15:30
16:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)

16:00
17:30

Laboratory Sessions

01h30'

Wednesday, March 12

Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.

12 March 2008

09:00
10:30

Parallel Sessions: RegCM Presentations & Discussion

01h30'

"RegCM3 experiment for the Indian Region: comparison of different convective scheme "	Eun-Soon Im
"RegCM3 experiment for the African Region: comparison of different convective scheme"	Laura Mariotti (ESP-ICTP)
"RegCM3 experiment for Hungary & Central/Eastern Europe"	Csaba Torma (Hungary)

09:00
10:30

Parallel Sessions: RSM Presentations and Discussions

01h30'

see RSM Programme 20'

10:30
11:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)

11:00
12:30

Laboratory Sessions

01h30'

12:30
14:00

Lunch

01h30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria

14:00
15:30

Laboratory Sessions

01h30'

15:30
16:00

Break

30'

Room: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)

16:00
17:30

Laboratory Sessions

01h30'

Thursday, March 13

Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.

13 March 2008

09:00
10:30

Parallel Sessions: RegCM Presentations & Discussion

01h30'

"Coupling of gas-phase chemistry in RegCM"	Ahmed Shalabi (Egypt)
"Nature aerosols and impacts on regional scale using RegCM"	Ashraf Zakey (ESP-ICTP)
"The study of the climatic impacts of aerosols (natural & anthropogenic) over Africa (W. Africa)"	A. Konaré (Ivory Coast)
RSM Presentations & Discussion (See RSM Prog.)