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Category: List of Bases 2007 2007 ICTP activities in Trieste ICTP activities in Trieste
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lecture

Start Time:

25 June 2007 at 08:00

Ends On:

6 July 2007

Location:

Trieste - Italy

Venue:

MB (MLH)

Organizer(s):

Directors: F. Giorgi, V. Keilis-Borok, D. Straus

Material:

Conference on Predictability of Natural Disasters (25-26 June 2007)

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

25 June 2007
08:15
09:15
REGISTRATION
01h00'
09:15
09:30
OPENING SESSION
15'
K.R. Sreenivasan, F. Giorgi
09:30
10:45
The predictability of weather and climate
01h15'
J. Shukla
George Mason University (GMU), USA
10:45
11:15
Coffee Break
30'
11:15
12:30
The oceans as a source of climate variability and predictability
01h15'
M. Ghil
Ecole Normale Superieure, France
12:30
14:15
Lunch
01h45'
14:15
15:30
Estimating the probability of extreme tropical rainfall anomalies from ensemble seasonal prediction systems
01h15'
F. Molteni
ECMWF, UK
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
17:15
Improving climate prediction and our understanding of the human interactions with climate: The goals of WCRP
01h15'
A. Henderson-Sellers
World Climate Research Programme, Switzerland
19:30
20:30
Small Reception
01h00'
Tuesday, 26 June 2007

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

09:00
10:15
Climate change and European heat waves
01h15'
C. Schaer
Institute for Atmospheric & Climate Science, Switzerland
10:15
11:00
The end-to-end climate change attribution problem: from emissions to impacts
45'
D. Stone
University of Oxford, UK
11:00
11:30
Coffee Break
30'
11:30
12:45
Extreme events: problems of predictability and preparedness in lieu of fundamental equations
01h15'
V. Keilis-Borok
MITPAN, Russia
12:45
14:30
Lunch
01h45'
14:30
15:45
Forecasting natural hazards: Earthquakes, wildfires, landslides and floods
01h15'
D. Turcotte
University of California Davis, USA
15:45
16:15
Coffee Break
30'
16:15
17:30
Tsunami: Hazards from earthquakes, landslides, and asteroid impacts
01h15'
S. Ward
University of California, Santa Cruz, USA
17:30
18:00
Closing
30'
Workshop on "Solid Earth" Phenomena (27-29 July) Lectures 45 minutes, Discussion 15 minutes

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

27 June 2007
09:00
10:00
Predictability of earthquakes
01h00'
V. Keilis-Borok
MITPAN, Russia & UCLA, USA
10:00
11:00
Earthquake forecasting: Fault based versus seismicity based
01h00'
D. Turcotte
University of California Davis, USA
11:00
11:30
Coffee Break
30'
11:30
12:30
Earthquake forecasting: Fault based versus seismicity based
01h00'
D. Turcotte
University of California Davis, USA
12:30
14:00
Lunch
01h30'
14:00
16:00
Volcanic hazard and eruption forecast: from empirical to physical approach
02h00'
G. De Natale
Osservatorio Vesuviano, INGV, Italy
16:00
16:30
Coffee Break
30'
16:30
17:30
Discussion of Future Projects
01h00'
Thursday 28 June 2007 Afternoon Session Lecture Room C, Terrace Level Main Building

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

28 June 2007
09:00
10:00
An electric precursor: laboratory field and earthquake observations
01h00'
M. Caputo
Universita' degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza", Italy
10:00
11:00
Possibilities opened by new data bases - GPS
01h00'
G.F. Panza
Dept. of Earth Sciences (DST) & ICTP, Italy
11:00
11:30
Coffee Break
30'
11:30
12:30
Possibilities opened by new data bases - GPS
01h00'
G.F. Panza
Dept. of Earth Sciences (DST) & ICTP, Italy
12:30
14:00
Lunch
01h30'
14:00
15:00
Similarity & Difference in sequences of starquakes, solar flares, and earthquakes
01h00'
V. Kossobokov
MITPAN, Russia
15:00
16:00
Discussion of Future Projects
01h00'
16:00
16:30
Coffee Break
30'
Friday, 29 June 2007

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

09:00
11:00
Lg coda Q variation in continental crust
02h00'
B. Mitchell
Saint Louis University, USA
11:00
11:30
Coffee Break
30'
11:30
12:30
Quantitative earthquake prediction: twenty years of real-time application and testing
01h00'
V. Kossobokov
MITPAN, Russia
12:30
14:00
Lunch
01h30'
14:00
15:00
What next?
01h00'
V. Keilis-Borok
MITPAN, Russia & UCLA, USA
15:00
16:00
Discussion of Future Projects
01h00'
16:00
16:30
Coffee Break
30'
Week 2: The Fluid Earth

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

2 July 2007
09:00
09:45
Dynamical Systems
45'
V. Krishnamurthy
Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies & George Mason University, USA
09:45
10:30
Dynamical Systems
45'
V. Krishnamurthy
Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies & George Mason University, USA
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:45
Dynamical Systems
45'
V. Krishnamurthy
Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies & George Mason University, USA
11:45
12:00
Discussion
15'
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
14:45
Weather Predictability in Large Models
45'
D. Straus
George Mason University (GMU), USA
14:45
15:30
Weather Predictability in Large Models
45'
D. Straus
George Mason University (GMU), USA
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
16:45
Weather Predictability in Large Models
45'
D. Straus
George Mason University (GMU), USA
16:45
17:00
Discussion
15'
Tuesday, 3 July 2007

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

09:00
09:45
Theory of Error Growth
45'
V. Krishnamurthy
Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies & George Mason University, USA
09:45
10:30
Theory of Error Growth
45'
V. Krishnamurthy
Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies & George Mason University, USA
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:45
Theory of Error Growth
45'
V. Krishnamurthy
Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies & George Mason University, USA
11:45
12:00
Discussion
15'
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
14:45
Predictability of mid-latitude weather; Predictability of extreme events in mid-latitudes
45'
R. Buizza
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, UK
14:45
15:30
Predictability of mid-latitude weather; Predictability of extreme events in mid-latitudes
45'
R. Buizza
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, UK
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
16:45
Predictability of mid-latitude weather; Predictability of extreme events in mid-latitudes
45'
R. Buizza
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, UK
16:45
17:00
Discussion
15'
Wednesday, 4 July 2007

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

09:00
09:45
Climate Predictability
45'
D. Straus
George Mason University (GMU), USA
09:45
10:30
Climate Predictability
45'
D. Straus
George Mason University (GMU), USA
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:45
Climate Predictability
45'
D. Straus
George Mason University (GMU), USA
11:45
12:00
Discussion
15'
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
14:45
Predictability of tropical weather; Predictability of extreme events in the tropics
45'
K. Puri
Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre (BMRC), Australia
14:45
15:30
Predictability of tropical weather; Predictability of extreme events in the tropics
45'
K. Puri
Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre (BMRC), Australia
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
16:45
Predictability of tropical weather; Predictability of extreme events in the tropics
45'
K. Puri
Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre (BMRC), Australia
16:45
17:00
Discussion
15'
Thursday, 5 July 2007

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

09:00
09:45
Predictability of ENSO
45'
Ping Chang
Texas A & M University, Dept. of Oceanography, USA
09:45
10:30
Predictability of ENSO
45'
Ping Chang
Texas A & M University, Dept. of Oceanography, USA
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:45
Predictability of ENSO
45'
Ping Chang
Texas A & M University, Dept. of Oceanography, USA
11:45
12:00
Discussion
15'
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
14:45
Linear vs. Non-Linear Perspectives in Atmospheric Predictability
45'
G. Branstator
National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), USA
14:45
15:30
Linear vs. Non-Linear Perspectives in Atmospheric Predictability
45'
G. Branstator
National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), USA
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
16:45
Linear vs. Non-Linear Perspectives in Atmospheric Predictability
45'
G. Branstator
National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), USA
16:45
17:00
Discussion
15'
Friday, 6 July 2007

Room: Main Building Main Lecture Hall

09:00
09:45
Roles of internal vs. SST-forced variability in seasonal prediction and predictability
45'
In-Sik Kang
Climate Environment System Research Center, Seoul National Univ., Korea
09:45
10:30
Roles of internal vs. SST-forced variability in seasonal prediction and predictability
45'
In-Sik Kang
Climate Environment System Research Center, Seoul National Univ., Korea
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:45
Roles of internal vs. SST-forced variability in seasonal prediction and predictability
45'
In-Sik Kang
Climate Environment System Research Center, Seoul National Univ., Korea
12:00
13:30
Lunch
01h30'
14:00
15:30
Participant Presentations
01h30'
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
17:00
Ph.d Study Opportunities at George Mason University on Climate Dynamics
01h00'
D. Straus
George Mason University (GMU), USA
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