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Category: List of Bases 2005 2005 ICTP activities in Trieste ICTP activities in Trieste
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lecture

Start Time:

11 April 2005 at 08:30

Ends On:

22 April 2005

Location:

Trieste - Italy

Venue:

AGH (KLH)

Organizer(s):

F. Mesinger, S.C. Chou, F. Giorgi

Description:

Regional atmospheric models are a standard tool for enhancing the global model used for the weather prediction on a regional or local scale. These, nowadays, are more accessible and useful to a wide variety of users with relatively modest computer resources. Yet, how much and what type of improvements over the driver global models can be obtained and for how long, remain open questions. As a follow-up to a successful ICTP 2002 activity, the purpose of the 2005 Colloquium is, i) to facilitate adoption and use of a current state-of-the-art limited area model, ii) to assess the progress made since 2002, iii) to address issues of ongoing research aimed at advancing and understanding the predictive abilities of limited area models. This is to be achieved through the following combination of activities:

» a seven-day Workshop [April 11-19] on "Design and Use of Regional Weather Prediction Models". This workshop will include tutorial lectures on the design of regional weather prediction models, with emphasis on several features of ongoing research, such as the representation of topography, modeling of convection, and modeling land-surface/boundary layer processes. The workshop will include lab sessions in which students will be taught to install and run a recently refined version of the Eta Model. Students will also be encouraged to perform experiments relevant to a specific region or model feature.

» a three-day Conference [April 20-22] on "Current Efforts Toward Advancing the Skill of Regional Weather Prediction. Challenges and Outlook". The conference will include invited and contributed papers highlighting some of the following topics:
- Operational and data considerations: limited area systems, current directions;
- Basic numerical design: grid point Eulerian/semi-Lagrangian, conservation/finite-volume issues, nested spectral, stretched grids and variable resolution approaches, other;
- Open questions concerning the numerical design: nonhydrostatic, how and when; vertical co-ordinate/topography, lateral boundary conditions;
- Resolution vs. domain size, convergence issues; benefits from "local" vs. regional models;
- Physical parameterizations, convection and explicit cloud physics schemes; boundary layer/ subgrid-scale transport;
- Regional weather predictability: value added by a limited area model, downscaling, "Upscaling"?, limited area ensembles.
- Storm-scale prediction - a reality at hand?


Material:

11 April 2005
08:30
10:00
REGISTRATION
01h30'
10:00
10:30
Welcome & Introduction to the Colloquium
30'
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
12:00
Free time for administrative / financial matters
01h00'
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
15:15
Regional NWP modeling and predictability, introduction. The Eta Model numerical design: Lateral boundary conditions, time differencing
01h15'
F. Mesinger
NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs & U. of Maryland, USA
15:15
15:45
Coffee Break
30'
15:45
17:00
The Eta Model at CPTEC. Applications
01h15'
S.C. Chou
INPE/CPTEC, Sao Paulo, Brazil
12 April 2005
09:00
10:15
Eta land-surface, surface layer and PBL parameterization schemes, Part I
01h15'
F. Freedman
San Jos‚ State University, USA
10:15
10:45
Coffee Break
30'
10:45
12:00
Data assimilation in regional modeling and prediction: Assimilation
01h15'
T. Vukicevic
Colorado State Univ., CIRA, Fort Collins, USA
12:00
14:00
Lunch Break
02h00'
14:00
15:20
Infolab - Familiarization with computing environment in ICTP lab
01h20'
J. Grassberger
ICTP
15:20
15:40
Coffee Break
20'
15:40
17:00
Infolab - Formation of working groups and start-up session on data handling and visualization
01h20'
13 April 2005
09:00
10:15
Cumulus parameterization
01h15'
S.C. Chou
INPE/CPTEC, Sao Paulo, Brazil
10:15
10:45
Coffee Break
30'
10:45
12:00
The Eta Model numerical design: Vertical coordinate
01h15'
F. Mesinger
NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs & U. of Maryland, USA
12:00
14:00
Lunch Break
02h00'
14:00
15:20
Infolab - Practical session
01h20'
15:20
15:50
Coffee Break
30'
15:50
17:10
Infolab - Practical session
01h20'
18:00
18:00
RECEPTION
14 April 2005
09:00
10:15
Eta land-surface, surface layer and PBL parameterization schemes, Part II
01h15'
F. Freedman
San Jos‚ State U., USA
10:15
10:45
Coffee Break
30'
10:45
12:00
Data assimilation in regional modeling and prediction: Applications of 4DVAR and ensemble KF techniques
01h15'
T. Vukicevic
Colorado State Univ., CIRA, Fort Collins, USA
12:00
14:00
Lunch Break
02h00'
14:00
15:20
Infolab - Practical session
01h20'
15:20
15:50
Coffee Break
30'
15:50
17:10
Infolab - Practical session
01h20'
15 April 2005
09:00
10:15
Cloud Microphysics
01h15'
S.C. Chou
INPE/CPTEC, Sao Paulo, Brazil
10:15
10:45
Coffee Break
30'
10:45
12:00
Formation of Turbulence Closure Model 2.5 (M-Y)
01h15'
B. Rajkovic
U. of Belgrade, Serbia & Montenegro
12:00
14:00
Lunch Break
02h00'
14:00
15:20
Infolab - Practical session
01h20'
15:20
15:50
Coffee Break
30'
15:50
17:10
Infolab - Practical session
01h20'
18 April 2005
09:00
10:15
Probabilistic assimilation/prediction
01h15'
M. Zupanski
Colorado State Univ., CIRA, Fort Collins, USA
10:15
10:45
Coffee Break
30'
10:45
12:00
The Eta Model numerical design: Gravity wave coupling, horizontal advection - I
01h15'
M. Rancic
NASA and U. Maryland, U.S.A.
12:00
14:00
Lunch Break
02h00'
14:00
15:20
Infolab - Practical session
01h20'
15:20
15:50
Coffee Break
30'
15:50
17:10
Infolab - Practical session
01h20'
19 April 2005
09:00
10:15
Eta Model at NCEP: Challenges overcome and lessons learned
01h15'
F. Mesinger
NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs & U. of Maryland, USA
10:15
10:45
Coffee Break
30'
10:45
12:00
Student presentations
01h15'
12:00
14:00
Lunch Break
02h00'
14:00
15:20
Student presentations
01h20'
15:20
15:50
Coffee Break
30'
15:50
17:10
Student presentations
01h20'
20 April 2005
09:00
09:20
Welcome and introduction to the Conference
20'
09:20
10:00
Information content in ensemble data assimilation
40'
D. Zupanski
Colorado State Univ., CIRA, Fort Collins, USA
10:00
10:40
Physical grounds for improved parameterization of stable boundary layers in atmospheric models
40'
S. Zilitinkevich
University of Helsinki, Finland
10:40
11:00
Coffee Break
20'
11:00
11:40
SE on the effect of AMDAR data on the Eta Model forecasts. General information on the Eta Model system at SAWS
40'
H. Riphagen
South Africa
11:40
12:00
ALADIN Project. Information on new developments and plans re ALARO and AROME
20'
D. Klaric
RC LACE Project Leader, Croatian Met. Service, Croatia
12:00
14:00
Lunch Break
02h00'
14:00
14:40
Vertical coordinate, QPF and resolution: Predictability as gleaned from recent Eta Model results
40'
F. Mesinger
NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs & U. of Maryland, USA
14:40
15:40
The HIRLAM strategy for development of LAM forecasting
01h00'
P. Unden
Swedish Meteorological & Hydrological Institute, Norrkoping, Sweden
15:40
16:00
Coffee Break
20'
16:00
16:40
Maximum Likelihood Ensemble FIlter (MLEF): an ensemble assimilation/prediction system based on control theory
40'
D. Zupanski
Colorado State Univ., CIRA, Fort Collins, USA
16:40
17:00
Discussion session
20'
21 April 2005
09:00
09:20
A dynamic tropopause perspective of the Atlantic - Mediterranean Teleconnection event of November-December 2001
20'
S. Krichak
Tel Aviv U., Israel
09:20
10:00
Limited area modeling at the University of Athens with the Eta model
40'
G. Kallos
University of Athens, Greece
10:00
10:20
Coffee Break
20'
10:20
11:00
The limited area ensemble prediction system of ARPA-SMR
40'
S. Tibaldi
Regional Meteorological Service, Bologna, Italy
11:00
11:40
The nonhydrostatic model LM and its version in z-coordinates
40'
J. Steppeler
Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany
11:40
12:20
Initialization" using an iterative Matsuno style scheme in the Eta model adjustment stage
40'
L. Lazic
University of Belgrade, Yugoslavia
12:20
15:00
Lunch Break
02h40'
15:00
15:20
An adapative resolution study of December 3-5 2001 Mediterranean cyclone with torrential rains in Israel
20'
S. Krichak
Tel Aviv U., Israel
15:20
16:00
Model error dynamics and regional modeling
40'
S. Vannitsem
Royal Meteorological Institute, Brussels, Belgium
16:00
16:20
Coffee Break
20'
16:20
16:20
The Eta Model numerical design: Gravity wave coupling, horizontal advection - II
M. Rancic
NASA and U. Maryland, U.S.A.
16:20
16:50
Discussion session
30'
22 April 2005
09:00
09:40
Limited area modeling at the University of Athens with the Eta Model
40'
G. Kallos
University of Athens, Greece
09:40
10:20
Ensemble Seasonal Forecasts with the Eta Model over South America
40'
S.C. Chou
INPE/CPTEC, Sao Paulo, Brazil
10:20
12:00
Contributions
01h40'


12:00
12:00
Closing remarks
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