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Category: List of Bases 2002 2002 ICTP activities in Trieste ICTP activities in Trieste
Session Menu
lecture

Start Time:

3 June 2002 at 09:00

Ends On:

14 June 2002

Location:

ICTP

Venue:

A (KLH)

Organizer(s):

G. Philander, F. Molteni

Material:

WORKSHOP Mon 3 June

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

3 June 2002
09:00
10:00
REGISTRATION
01h00'
10:00
12:00
Free Time for Administrative Matters
02h00'
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
14:30
Welcome and Introduction to the Workshop
30'
G. Philander
Princeton University, USA
14:30
15:00
Ocean Aspects of El Nino
30'
A. Fedorov
Princeton Univ., AOS/GFDL, USA
15:00
15:30
Coffee Break
30'
15:30
16:30
Ocean Aspects of El Nino
01h00'
A. Fedorov
Princeton Univ., AOS/GFDL, USA
WORKSHOP Tue 4 June

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

4 June 2002
09:40
10:40
Ocean Aspects of El Nino
01h00'
A. Fedorov
Princeton Univ., AOS/GFDL, USA
10:40
11:00
Coffee Break
20'
11:00
12:00
Atmospheric Aspects of El Nino
01h00'
E. Sarachik
Univ. of Washington, JISAO, Seattle, USA
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
15:00
Computer Lab Session
01h00'
B. Winter / H. Seidel
Princeton University, USA / Texas A&M Univ., USA
Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
15:00
15:20
Coffee Break
20'
15:20
16:20
Computer Lab Session
01h00'
B. Winter / H. Seidel
Princeton University, USA / Texas A&M Univ., USA
WORKSHOP Wed 5 June

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

5 June 2002
09:40
10:40
Atmospheric Aspects of El Nino
01h00'
E. Sarachik
Univ. of Washington, JISAO, Seattle, USA
10:40
11:00
Coffee Break
20'
11:00
12:00
Atmospheric Aspects of El Nino
01h00'
E. Sarachik
Univ. of Washington, JISAO, Seattle, USA
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
15:00
Computer Lab Session
01h00'
B. Winter / H. Seidel
Princeton University, USA / Texas A&M Univ., USA
Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
15:00
15:20
Coffee Break
20'
15:20
16:20
Computer Lab Session
01h00'
B. Winter / H. Seidel
Princeton University, USA / Texas A&M Univ., USA
Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
WORKSHOP Thu 6 June

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

6 June 2002
09:40
10:40
The Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere System
01h00'
P. Chang
Texas A&M Univ., College Station, USA
10:40
11:00
Coffee Break
20'
11:00
12:00
The Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere System
01h00'
P. Chang
Texas A&M Univ., College Station, USA
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
15:00
Computer Lab Session
01h00'
B. Winter / H. Seidel
Princeton University, USA / Texas A&M Univ., USA
Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
15:00
15:20
Coffee Break
20'
15:20
16:20
Computer Lab Session
01h00'
B. Winter / H. Seidel
Princeton University, USA / Texas A&M Univ., USA
Room: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
WORKSHOP Fri 7 June

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

7 June 2002
09:40
10:40
The Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere System
01h00'
P. Chang
Texas A&M Univ., College Station, USA
10:40
11:00
Coffee Break
20'
11:00
12:00
Summary
01h00'
G. Philander
Princeton University, USA
WORKSHOP Mon 10 June

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

10 June 2002
09:40
10:40
Reviews of the Article in the ENSO 1998 JGR Issue
01h00'
STUDENTS
10:40
11:00
Coffee Break
20'
11:00
12:00
Reviews of the Article in the ENSO 1998 JGR Issue
01h00'
STUDENTS
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
14:00
15:00
Student presentations of their work
01h00'
STUDENTS
15:00
15:20
Coffee Break
20'
15:20
16:20
Student Presentations of their work
01h00'
STUDENTS
CONFERENCE: Predicting El Nino I

Chairperson: T. Yamagata

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

11 June 2002
09:00
09:10
Welcome and Introduction
10'
F. Molteni, G. Philander
09:10
09:40
Reconciling divergent perspectives: Theory
30'
G. Philander
Princeton University, USA
09:40
10:10
Reconciling divergent perspectives: Observations
30'
W.S. Kessler
NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, USA
10:10
10:40
Coffee Break
30'
10:40
11:10
Forecasting El Nino
30'
D. Anderson
ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom
11:10
11:40
Forecasts for 2002
30'
B. Kirtman
COLA/IGES, Calverton, USA
11:40
12:10
Actual developments in 2002
30'
L.M. Goddard
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, USA
12:10
14:10
Lunch
02h00'
CONFERENCE: Predicting El Nino II

Chairperson: J.P. McCreary

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

11 June 2002
14:00
14:30
Statistical Approaches
30'
P. Chang
Texas A&M Univ., College Station, USA
14:30
15:00
Predicting a Specific Event
30'
A. Fedorov
Princeton Univ., AOS/GFDL, USA
15:00
15:30
Coffee Break
30'
15:30
16:00
The stability of El Nino determined by the breeding method
30'
E. Kalnay
University of Maryland, College Park, USA
16:00
16:30
Predicting the Impact on Northern America
30'
J. Shukla
COLA/IGES, Calverton, USA
16:30
17:00
Panel Discussion
30'
T. Yamagata, J.P. McCreary, D. Battisti
CONFERENCE: El Nino in other Worlds

Chairperson: E. Sarachik

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

12 June 2002
09:00
09:30
The World of Coupled GCM's
30'
M. Latif
Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
09:30
10:00
Effects of a Changing Background State
30'
P. Schopf
COLA/IGES, Calverton, USA
10:00
10:30
Coffee Break
30'
10:30
11:00
The Distant Past as Revealed by Corals
30'
K. Cobb
Scripps Institute of Oceanography, UC San Diego, USA
11:00
11:30
The World of a Coupled GCM
30'
A. Navarra
National Inst. of Geophysics and Vulcanology, Bologna, Italy
11:30
11:45
The Hadley Centre World
15'
T. Toniazzo
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction & Research, Bracknell, United Kingdom
11:45
12:00
The Hamburg World
15'
N. Keenlyside
Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
CONFERENCE: The Role of Stochastic Forecasting

Chairperson: D. Halpern

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

12 June 2002
14:00
14:30
Atmospheric Aspects of El Nino
30'
J. Slingo
CGAM, University of Reading, United Kingdom
14:30
14:45
An Energetics Perspective
15'
L. Goddard
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, USA
14:45
15:00
What maintains the Southern Oscillation?
15'
G.J. van Oldenborgh
K.N.M.I., de Bilt, Netherlands
15:00
15:30
Coffee Break
30'
15:30
16:00
Do Westerly wind bursts matter?
30'
E. Sarachik
Univ. of Washington, JISAO, Seattle, USA
16:15
16:45
Panel Discussion
30'
S. Gadgil, A. Bussalacchi, E. Sarachik, D. Halpern


A. Is the Southern Oscillation strongly damped, self-sustaining or highly unstable?  15'
B. Could El Nino of 1997 - 1998 have been predicted?  15'
C. How does decadal variability affect El Nino?  15'
CONFERENCE: Teleconnections

Chairperson: A. Leetmaa

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

13 June 2002
09:00
09:30
Links to the Northern Pacific
30'
J.P. McCreary
University of Hawaii, IPRC/SOEST, Honolulu, USA
09:30
10:00
The Indian Ocean
30'
T. Yamagata
University of Tokyo, Earth & Planetary Science, Japan
10:00
10:30
Coffee Break
30'
10:30
11:00
The Indian Monsoons
30'
S. Gadgil
Indian Institute of Science, CAOS, Bangalore, India
11:00
11:30
African Monsoons
30'
J.A. Omotosho
Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria
11:30
11:45
Southern Africa
15'
M.L. Mdoka
Drought Monitoring Centre, Dept. Meteorological Services, Harare, Zimbabwe
11:45
12:00
Sri Lanka
15'
P.M. Jayatilaka Banda
National Meteorological Centre, Colombo, Sri Lanka
CONFERENCE: Poster Session and Panel Discussion

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

13 June 2002
14:00
15:00
Poster Session
01h00'
15:00
15:30
Coffee Break
30'
15:30
16:30
Panel Discussion
01h00'
A. Leetmaa, I. Fung, J. Slingo, J. Shukla
CONFERENCE: Scientific Developments, Past and Future

Chairperson: S. Zebiak

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

14 June 2002
09:00
09:20
Oceanography - Sextant to Satellite
20'
D. Halpern
California Inst. of Technology, JPL, Pasadena, USA
09:20
09:40
Computers - von Neumann to "New Frontiers"
20'
T. Yamagata
University of Tokyo, Earth & Planetary Science, Japan
09:40
10:00
El Nino to Earth System Science
20'
R.T. Barber
Duke University Marine Laboratory, Beaufort, USA
10:00
10:30
Coffee Break
30'
10:30
10:50
Weather Forecasting: Augury to Science
20'
E. Kalnay
University of Maryland, College Park, USA
10:50
11:10
The Carbon Cycle
20'
I. Fung
University of California at Berkeley, USA
11:10
12:00
Panel Discussion
50'
S. Zebiak, A. Leetmaa, M. Cane, A. Busalacchi
12:00
14:00
Lunch
02h00'
CONFERENCE: The influence of Social, Political.....factors on science

Chairperson: G. Philander

Room: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall

14 June 2002
14:00
14:20
An American perspective
20'
J. Shukla
COLA/IGES, Calverton, USA
14:20
14:40
A French perspective
20'
J. Merle
LEGOS/IRD, Toulouse, France
14:40
15:00
A European perspective
20'
A. Navarra
National Inst. of Geophysics and Vulcanology, Bologna, Italy
15:00
15:30
Coffee Break
30'
15:30
15:50
An Indian perspective
20'
S. Gadgil
Indian Institute of Science, CAOS, Bangalore, India
15:50
16:50
Panel Discussion
01h00'
E. Sarachik, D. Battisti, G. Philander, F. Molteni
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